How to choose your keepers

Keep the players who return more points than the pick you spend to hold them. That is the whole decision. A star at a first-round cost can be a worse keep than a mid-round back you hold for a tenth, because the pick you save is worth more than the extra points the star gives you.

Most managers keep their best name and move on. That habit costs them value every year. Here is a way to rank your options that a contender and a rebuild can both use.

Start with the cost, not the player

Before you rank anyone, write down what each keeper costs under your league rules. A tenth-round keeper and a second-round keeper are not the same decision even if the players score the same.

The pick you give up has value on its own. An early pick buys you a shot at elite talent in the draft. A late pick buys you a lottery ticket. When you keep a player, you are trading that pick's value for the player's production. So the real question is whether the player beats what you could get with the pick.

Measure each player against a replacement, not the field

Points alone lie to you. A running back and a receiver can project for the same total and be worth very different amounts, because startable players are scarcer at some positions than others.

Compare each keeper to a replacement-level starter at the same position, the kind of player you could grab off waivers or late in the draft. The gap between your keeper and that replacement is what the player actually adds to your lineup. A receiver who beats replacement by 60 points helps you more than a running back who beats it by 30, even if the running back scores more in raw total.

Turn it into one number: Keeper Value

Put the two halves together and you get Keeper Value:

Keeper Value = the points the player adds over a replacement, minus the value of the pick you spend to keep them.

Rank every keeper option by that number and the decision makes itself. The highest Keeper Value players are your keeps. The negative ones cost more than they give back, so you let them go and draft their replacement instead.

Keeper Value explained breaks down each piece of the math. The free calculator runs it for your whole roster in a few clicks.

Adjust for where your team is headed

The number gives you the ranking. Your season plan sets the tiebreakers.

  • Contending this year. Weight current production. Keep the players who win you games now, even if their cost climbs next season, because you plan to compete before the price gets steep.
  • Rebuilding. Keep young players with rising value and a cheap cost. Their price stays low while their production grows, and you can trade them at a peak or hold them as a bargain for years.
  • On the fence. Lean toward low-cost keepers with staying power. They keep your options open without locking you into a plan.

Watch the traps

A few mistakes show up every offseason:

  • Keeping a name, not a value. The biggest star is not always the best keep once you count the pick.
  • Ignoring the escalating cost. A cheap keeper this year can become a bad one in two seasons if the price climbs each year. Look ahead before you commit.
  • Forgetting position scarcity. Two players with equal points are not equal keeps if one plays a thin position and the other plays a deep one.
  • Keeping to fill a need instead of to gain value. Draft to fill needs. Keep to gain value. Mixing the two leads to overpaying.

Put it to work

Pull up your roster and list every keeper-eligible player with their cost. Score each one on Keeper Value, then let your season plan settle any close calls. The free Keeper Value calculator does the scoring for you and ranks your whole roster, so you can see your best keeps in the time it takes to read this. When you want to test how your picks play out in a real draft, run a mock draft with your keepers locked in.